Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.235149 3.736084 4.290467 4.949799 5.713049 6.569393 7.603945
2024-10-27 2.401848 3.012401 3.746449 4.695135 5.890732 7.350193 9.271335
2024-11-03 2.019331 2.722016 3.630321 4.893161 6.608423 8.864293 12.068852
2024-11-10 1.759800 2.530482 3.593588 5.172128 7.466163 10.693890 15.607806
2024-11-17 1.511510 2.303625 3.462228 5.288006 8.109087 12.329519 19.173768
2024-11-24 1.294059 2.079151 3.290278 5.305179 8.597826 13.808390 22.763317
2024-12-01 1.079397 1.819489 3.017848 5.112600 8.715535 14.718181 25.599436
2024-12-08 0.903481 1.591525 2.756296 4.887254 8.729784 15.443559 28.230819
2024-12-15 0.808918 1.485557 2.680303 4.962690 9.267342 17.137198 32.851064
2024-12-22 0.702481 1.340713 2.512410 4.842304 9.423682 18.159969 36.388889
2024-12-29 0.663672 1.314870 2.556487 5.123678 10.381196 20.828136 43.586535
2025-01-05 0.616509 1.265091 2.546545 5.295386 11.145264 23.230585 50.655751
2025-01-12 0.557513 1.185479 2.471818 5.336245 11.675005 25.300239 57.537272
2025-01-19 0.479208 1.053636 2.270958 5.078914 11.526158 25.914123 61.328258
2025-01-26 0.451568 1.026944 2.288821 5.305179 12.494609 29.161066 71.865682
2025-02-02 0.432406 1.016173 2.339903 5.616010 13.714673 33.200468 85.134496
2025-02-09 0.402349 0.975384 2.316537 5.747120 14.526972 36.413372 96.978864
2025-02-16 0.368825 0.920998 2.252917 5.769025 15.071445 39.060983 107.884671
2025-02-23 0.326473 0.838213 2.108059 5.561176 14.986878 40.084420 114.581556
2025-03-02 0.287709 0.758530 1.958860 5.316788 14.760932 40.690430 120.215670
2025-03-09 0.269018 0.728564 1.932723 5.399763 15.451909 43.925735 134.216276
2025-03-16 0.242872 0.674565 1.835267 5.268997 15.514018 45.401440 143.209442
2025-03-23 0.237038 0.675872 1.887862 5.576067 16.914503 51.025352 166.399390